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Market Insights
Mitchell Weijerman
May 12, 2026
Mining gives you two returns simultaneously: Bitcoin production below market cost and hardware appreciation during bull markets. No other Bitcoin strategy offers this.
When you buy Bitcoin on an exchange, you pay market price. When you mine Bitcoin, you produce it at your cost of electricity. At 6 to 7 cents per kWh, that production cost is roughly 40% to 60% below market price.
Over the life of a machine (3 to 5 years), this discount compounds into a significant advantage. You accumulate more Bitcoin for the same dollar investment than someone who simply buys on an exchange. The math consistently favors producers over buyers.
This first return alone makes mining attractive. But it is the second return that makes mining exceptional.
ASIC miners are not typical depreciating assets. While they do depreciate over time as newer models emerge, their short term value moves with Bitcoin’s price and mining profitability. During bull markets, demand for hashrate spikes and machine prices increase.
A machine purchased for $4,000 during a bear market can be worth $6,000 to $8,000 during a bull market. Some miners time their hardware sales to capture this appreciation, effectively getting paid to mine.
Buy machines when prices are low (bear market), mine through the rally, and sell when hardware demand peaks. This captures both the Bitcoin production return and the hardware appreciation return.
Consider this scenario. You buy a miner for $4,500 during the accumulation phase. Over 18 months, it produces $8,000 worth of Bitcoin at a cost of $3,000 in electricity. You then sell the machine for $5,500 during the bull market.
Your total investment: $4,500 (machine) + $3,000 (electricity) = $7,500. Your total return: $8,000 (Bitcoin) + $5,500 (machine sale) = $13,500. Net profit: $6,000 on a $7,500 investment, or 80% return in 18 months.
No one who simply bought and held Bitcoin gets the machine appreciation component. This is the strategic advantage of mining.
Step 1: Buy hardware during bear markets or accumulation phases when prices are lowest.
Step 2: Mine consistently through the cycle, accumulating Bitcoin at below market cost via hosted mining.
Step 3: Monitor hardware resale values during the bull market phase. When machines are selling for 50% or more above what you paid, consider selling and upgrading to newer hardware.
Step 4: Reinvest machine sale proceeds into next generation hardware at a better efficiency. Repeat the cycle.
Return #1 is Bitcoin produced below market price through mining. Return #2 is hardware appreciation, as ASIC miner prices rise during bull markets when demand for hashrate increases. Combined, these deliver superior returns compared to buying Bitcoin alone.
During bull markets, yes. Machine prices rise with Bitcoin’s price and mining profitability. A machine bought for $4,000 in a bear market can sell for $6,000 to $8,000 during a bull market. Long term, machines depreciate as newer models emerge.
Over holding periods of 12 to 18 months or longer with competitive electricity rates, mining typically outperforms buying. The combination of below market Bitcoin production and hardware appreciation creates a dual return that buying alone cannot match.
Consider selling when hardware resale values are 50% or more above your purchase price, typically during the euphoric phase of the Bitcoin cycle. Sell the old machine and reinvest in newer, more efficient hardware for the next cycle.
Last updated: 2026-04-12
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